Experimental browser for the Atmosphere
Based on the evidence I disagree. As seen, a tech-optimism farm-level approach *cannot* meet GHG or water/NH3 goals with certainty: economic rebound dominates if allowed. Teagasc bury but admit it deep in MACC reporting, eg in MACC23 analysis p.36 EBI improvement (key CH4 measure) *helped* GHG rise.
Apr 18, 2025, 11:15 AM
{ "uri": "at://did:plc:6lpspwgxnxbrzgomcwnfos7u/app.bsky.feed.post/3ln3ilzubbs2c", "cid": "bafyreid4duk4au6d2ixv34aflxv6xsfx2z2s7jr27rgmkqnmwb7hjdothm", "value": { "text": "Based on the evidence I disagree.\nAs seen, a tech-optimism farm-level approach *cannot* meet GHG or water/NH3 goals with certainty: economic rebound dominates if allowed.\nTeagasc bury but admit it deep in MACC reporting, eg in MACC23 analysis p.36 EBI improvement (key CH4 measure) *helped* GHG rise.", "$type": "app.bsky.feed.post", "embed": { "$type": "app.bsky.embed.images", "images": [ { "alt": "Text (with my highlighting) of final paragraph on p. 36 in:\nLanigan, G., Hanrahan, K., Karl G Richards, 2023. An Updated Analysis of the Greenhouse Gas Abatement Potential of the Irish Agriculture and Land-Use Sectors between 2021 and 2030. Teagasc.\nhttps://www.teagasc.ie/media/website/environment/climate-action/climate-centre/MACC-2023.pdf\n\nTeagasc's text here states that a very large economic rebound in the dairy sector occurred between 2012 and 2020, and that this effect far more than cancelled out any MACC mitigation. Moreover, EBI contributed to more profit and more emissions per cow, so more cows of farms and nationally inevitably resulted in far more emissions.\n\nThe text also make an apples-to-oranges comparison of dairy production increase with total agri emissions. In fact dairy methane, up over 60% and nitrogen-excretion remained strongly coupled to milk production.", "image": { "$type": "blob", "ref": { "$link": "bafkreic56wh6wslw7mjrpaun4ow2by5vlfyeezihrgacbhmsrjxu3stzve" }, "mimeType": "image/jpeg", "size": 536444 }, "aspectRatio": { "width": 1464, "height": 1130 } } ] }, "langs": [ "en" ], "reply": { "root": { "cid": "bafyreifdkvz4h55uj2vmabfjo7dplrq7goucyv4cuuklgxsbh35lenhvyy", "uri": "at://did:plc:6lpspwgxnxbrzgomcwnfos7u/app.bsky.feed.post/3ln36bi5utc2m" }, "parent": { "cid": "bafyreiffb4snbur2i5qlond6ju3yry2mq5kjixsemlghy3b6zrj465rh7i", "uri": "at://did:plc:7dcdmvz5vz6xodudzwvkcfxu/app.bsky.feed.post/3ln3frccmxc2n" } }, "createdAt": "2025-04-18T11:15:49.193Z" } }