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    "text": "That explanation (called Bayesian inference below) would not be able to explain self estimated performance going up again at very low ability which is what Jansen et al. look for. Whereas performance-dependent estimation can accommodate it.",
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          "alt": "Key figure from https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-021-01057-0/figures/5\na,b, Results and best fitting models for displayed by score (a) and quartile of performance (b). The model where estimation accuracy is independent of score, or the Bayesian inference model, is parameterized by ϵ = 0.4 and μθ = 0.05, whereas the performance-dependent model is parameterized by ϵ0 = 0.45, μθ = 0.05 and α = 0.1. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals.\n\n",
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    "createdAt": "2025-04-06T15:42:35.080Z"
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